CriticalSevere WeatherCS: 58 · v5

Severe Weather near Great Bend

BartonUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 10 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

7 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

This alert expired on 30 September 2026 at 21:36 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 22 recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026 — 5 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 12 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued September 30 at 4:26PM CDT until September 30 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Dodge City KS

Urban PEI: 15,717 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 10 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 58 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)58 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.79/1
Coordinates38.5273, -98.9653
Nearest CityGreat Bend (26 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)15.7K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-30T21:26:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.deda34c724e09061a4d888db68f6114c16e35a69.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-30T21:26:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-30T21:13:06.223Z. Material modification: 2026-09-30T21:29:53.537Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

2 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
MessageIdurn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.deda34c724e09061a4d888db68f6114c16e35a69.001.1
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescRush, KS; Barton, KS; Russell, KS; Barton, KS
HeadlineTornado Warning issued September 30 at 4:26PM CDT until September 30 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Dodge City KS
Expires2026-09-30T16:36:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Dodge City KS
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2d3f7cde5050c12d70fdeb3e9712ad6899ffb0b0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2d114123b93983f1df6426fb5ff76860d74c83c7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.46a9b5c909dfa63c38a760cffae2e5f269c0be16.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypetornado
Spc SpeedUNK
Spc Location3 SSW Ash Valley
Spc CountyPawnee
Spc StateKS
Spc CommentsStorm chaser reports with live video of an ongoing tornado. (DDC)
Iem TypeSummaryTornado
Iem LsrCodeT
Iem LsrTypeTORNADO

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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